Newell Richard G., Qian Yifei, Raimi Daniel

Economie et politique de l’énergie
March 2016
Titre Ouvrage:
Global Energy Outlook 2015
NBER, Working Paper No. 22075
This paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and inter-governmental organizations.  These projections agree that global energy consumption growth in the coming 25 years is likely to be substantial, with the global demand center shifting from Europe and North America to Asia, led by China and India. Global carbon dioxide emissions continue to rise under most projections and, unless additional climate policies are adopted, are more consistent with an expected rise in average global temperature of close to 3°C or more, than international goals of 2°C or less.